USD to soften in Q2/Q3 as Fed easing risks are renewed and the US economy slow – Scotiabank

US Dollar’s rebound develops a little more traction. However, Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, expects USD to weaken from the second quarter of the year. 

USD/CAD sellers can be patient for now

I still look for the USD to soften in Q2/Q3 as Fed easing risks are renewed and the US economy slows. 

A broader easing in central bank policy in H2 should be supportive for risk appetite and add to USD headwinds later this year. Seasonality also turns generally USD-negative in Q2/Q3. 

USD/CAD sellers can be patient for now; levels nearer 1.3500/1.3600 could be seen in the next few weeks.