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Forex Today: Pound Sterling benefits from inflation data, focus shifts to FOMC Minutes

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, May 22:

Pound Sterling gathers strength against its major rivals early Wednesday, boosted by the stronger-than-forecast UK inflation readings for April. Existing Home Sales data for April will be featured in the US economic docket. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the minutes of the April 30-May 1 monetary policy meeting.

The UK's Office for National Statistics reported on Wednesday that inflation in the UK, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declined to 2.3% on a yearly basis in April from 3.2% in March. This reading, however, came in above the market expectation of 2.1%. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.9% in the same period, surpassing analysts' estimate of 3.6%. GBP/USD gained traction following the UK inflation report and was last seen trading at its highest level in two months near 1.2750. Reflecting the positive impact of CPI figures on Pound Sterling, EUR/GBP trades deep in negative territory at around 0.8500.

UK CPI inflation declines to 2.3% in April, closing in on BoE's target.

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.08% -0.38% 0.14% -0.03% 0.04% -0.47% 0.19%
EUR 0.08%   -0.30% 0.20% 0.05% 0.13% -0.39% 0.26%
GBP 0.38% 0.30%   0.50% 0.31% 0.44% -0.09% 0.58%
JPY -0.14% -0.20% -0.50%   -0.18% -0.10% -0.60% 0.05%
CAD 0.03% -0.05% -0.31% 0.18%   0.07% -0.39% 0.21%
AUD -0.04% -0.13% -0.44% 0.10% -0.07%   -0.50% 0.17%
NZD 0.47% 0.39% 0.09% 0.60% 0.39% 0.50%   0.64%
CHF -0.19% -0.26% -0.58% -0.05% -0.21% -0.17% -0.64%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

In the early trading hours of the Asian session, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced that it left the policy rate unchanged at 5.5% as expected. In the policy statement, the RBNZ reiterated that the policy needs to be restricted and Governor Adrian Orr noted that they had a "real consideration" on raising rates at the meeting. NZD/USD edged higher following the RBNZ event and was last seen rising nearly 0.5% on the day at 0.6120.

Orr Speech: RBNZ Governor speaks on interest rate outlook after the hawkish hold.

The data from Japan showed that Exports and Imports both grew at an annual rate of 8.3% in April. After closing the day virtually unchanged on Tuesday, USD/JPY extends its sideways grind at around 156.50 early Wednesday. 

Japanese Yen depreciates due to increased trade deficit, steady US Dollar.

EUR/USD registered small losses on Tuesday and entered a consolidation phase during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The pair stays relatively quiet slightly above 1.0850 in the European morning.

Gold closed marginally lower on Tuesday and continued to edge lower early Wednesday. XAU/USD was last seen trading below $2,420.

Gold price loses its recovery momentum ahead of FOMC Minutes.

Economic Indicator

FOMC Minutes

FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

Read more.

Last release: Wed Apr 10, 2024 18:00

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: -

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is usually published three weeks after the day of the policy decision. Investors look for clues regarding the policy outlook in this publication alongside the vote split. A bullish tone is likely to provide a boost to the greenback while a dovish stance is seen as USD-negative. It needs to be noted that the market reaction to FOMC Minutes could be delayed as news outlets don’t have access to the publication before the release, unlike the FOMC’s Policy Statement.

 

FX option expiries for May 22 NY cut

FX option expiries for May 22 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0830 895m 1.0860 836m 1.0845 561m 1.0875 942m 1.0900 605m - USD/JPY: USD amounts 154.00 2.1b 155.60 1.1b - USD/CHF: USD amounts 0.9100 429m - AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.6650 423m - USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.3475 730m 1.3680 1.1b 1.3725 802m NZD/USD: NZD amounts 0.6100 837m .
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Pound Sterling strengthens as hotter-than-expected UK inflation pares back BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling (GBP) rallies to 1.2750 in Wednesday’s European session as the United Kingdom (UK) Office for National Statistics (ONS) has reported a slower-than-expected decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April.
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